Monday, April 06, 2009

Government Rebates For 1st Time Home Buyers

These two articles were published Friday April 3, in the National Post and Bloomberg News, respectively.

The first talks about the Canadian economy. It mentions, among other things, incentives for first time home buyers, such as: tax credits for closing costs, an increase in the amount of RRSP withdrawals for downpayments, and rebates on land transfer tax.

The second article highlights some positive signs of late in the U.S. housing and finance economy.

Have a great week!


"A Real Estate Market with Plenty of Reasons to Buy

Helen Morris, National Post, Published: Friday, April 03, 2009


For first-time buyers with secure employment, the housing market may look rather more appealing now than it has in recent years, when they struggled with affordability.

"We know for Toronto, and for Ontario as a whole, there's been a pretty dramatic shift since the fourth quarter of last year, into a buyers' market," says Pascal Gauthier, economist at TD Economics. "Looking ahead to the next, say, 12 to 18 months, it is very difficult to believe that that is going to turn around, just given the economic backdrop."

While a continued buyers' market is good news for them, house hunters shouldn't expect to see a dramatic drop in prices.

"In Toronto, we're not seeing huge price declines," says Laurin Jeffrey, an agent with Century 21 Regal Realty, "but buyers are finding a lot more selection."

While last year, clients would find many properties had been sold before they had a chance to view them, "Now we're going through a list of 50, taking 20 that are good and getting out to see 10 top ones."

Mortgage broker Maria Dominelli advises clients to look very closely at their finances and lifestyle before stepping on to the property ladder.

"The first thing we want to determine is if home ownership is really right for the individual. They've got to look at coming up with the down payment ... [and] maintaining the home. It requires not only money but a commitment in time," says Ms. Dominelli, who works with Invis. "Make sure you do a check on that reality ... so you know the disadvantages and advantages of buying."

Mr. Jeffrey also urges clients to think about potential lifestyle changes that come with home ownership.


"If all of a sudden you're now restricted to a weekend in Montreal and a couple of lattes, when you're used to having dinner out [and vacationing in] Cuba, well, you're not going to be very happy," says Mr. Jeffrey.

If first-time buyers decide they are psychologically ready to take the plunge, there are some new government policies that can help with the finances.

Under the recent federal budget, first-time buyers can qualify for a $750 tax credit to help with closing costs. In addition, they can now withdraw up to $25,000 from their RRSPs under the Home Buyers Plan to help with a down payment, up from the previous $20,000.

First-time buyers in Toronto buying properties of $400,000 or less will receive a maximum rebate of $3,725 on land transfer tax.

Ms. Dominelli says it is always crucial for purchasers to have a back-up financial plan, but especially now in these testing economic times.

"One of the strategies is for people to actually have their mortgages registered for a longer amortization [for lower payments on paper] but to actually make their payments as though they are in a shorter amortization," says Ms. Dominelli. "While you are working, you can afford it. If the sky falls in and you lose your job and need to bide some time, you can ask the lender to change the payments to the lower total again without having to go back and incur legal fees."

Mr. Jeffrey believes in the value of the real estate investment. If your job prospects are good, he says, "Relax, take a breath, be smart. If you don't need that big flat screen TV, don't buy it. But if you need a place to live, prices are down a bit, mortgage rates are stupidly low. It's not a bad time to buy".



"Eased Mortgage Rates Point to Consumer-Driven Rebound

Kathleen M. Howley, Bloomberg News Published: Friday, April 03, 2009


U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is delivering what he promised five months ago, record-low mortgage rates and a refinancing boom that's putting cash in consumers' pockets.
Fixed 30-year mortgage rates fell to a record low for the second consecutive week last week, hitting 4.78%, Freddie Mac said on Thursday in a statement. The rates are the lowest in records dating to 1971, and come after Bernanke told Congress in November that helping the most creditworthy borrowers was essential to reviving the economy.

Mortgage applications in the U.S. rose for the fourth straight week last week as a decline in borrowing costs spurred homeowners to refinance, while purchases of new houses unexpectedly rose in February. The Fed's effort to bring down fixed rates may give consumers as much as US$25-billion, said Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody's Economy.com.

"It certainly gives further fuel to consumer spending," said Nicolas Retsinas, director of Harvard University's Joint Center for Housing Studies in Cambridge, Massachusetts. "It puts more money into circulation."

The extra cash may help boost first-quarter consumer spending by 1% to 1.5%, said Barton Biggs, managing partner at New York-based hedge fund Traxis Partners LLC. Consumer spending accounts for about two-thirds of the U.S. economy.

Creditworthy Borrowers

Bernanke signaled the Fed's effort to bring down fixed mortgage rates in Nov. 18 testimony to the U.S. House of Representatives' Committee on Financial Services.

"It is imperative that all banking organizations and their regulators work together to ensure that the needs of creditworthy borrowers are met," he said.

One week later, the Fed said it would buy up to $500-billion in home-loan securities, causing the biggest one-day drop in mortgage rates in at least seven years, according to Bankrate.com. On March 18, the central bank almost tripled the size of the program to up to $1.25-trillion in purchases during 2009. The intent is to lower rates and make real estate financing easier to get, the Fed said.

The plan to buy mortgage bonds this year is succeeding where US$11.6-trillion of government lending, spending, and guarantees so far have failed.

‘Successful Effort'

"This has been the most successful effort, at least so far in this crisis, to shore up the economy," said Zandi.

Bernanke's mortgage purchase program may help curb a recession that is in its second year and being driven by the highest jobless rate in a quarter century and shrinking household wealth.
"If you throw enough money at one credit market, you will bring down the price," said Gerald O'Driscoll, a senior fellow at the Cato Institute and former vice president of the Dallas Federal Reserve. "They are targeting the mortgage market in an attempt to speed the process of establishing a floor in the price of housing."

Homeowners who refinance with a half-point drop in fixed rates may save $150 a month on a $300,000 mortgage, said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at RBS Securities Inc. in Greenwich, Connecticut, and a former Fed economist.

Home Prices

Cheaper financing may also help spark a turnaround in the housing market. Sales of previously owned homes rose 5.1% to 4.72 million at an annualized pace in February from the prior month as low mortgage rates spurred demand, the National Association of Realtors said. The NAR's affordability index rose to a record in January, helped by lower home values and mortgage rates. The median U.S. home price in February was $165,400, the NAR said in a March 23 report, down 28 percent from its 2006 high.

Bernanke cited lower mortgage rates in testimony in February as evidence that Fed policies were working, noting that rates had fallen "nearly 1 percentage point" since the program was announced.

On April 1, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Sandra Pianalto said the Fed's program was resulting in "encouraging signs" for the economy. Besides falling rates, "we are also beginning to see a resurgence in refinancing activity in the residential mortgage markets, spurred on by these lower rates," she said.

The bankers' group boosted its forecast for 2009 home-loan originations by US$800-billion to US$2.78-trillion last month as a wave of refinancing and low interest rates spur homeowners to seek out new loans. Refinancing will increase to US$1.96-trillion in 2009 and purchase originations will total US$821-billion, the group said.

The London interbank offered rate, or Libor, for three- month dollar loans dropped to 1.17% on Thursday, down from 1.43% at the start of the year, showing banks have become more willing to lend.

TED Spread

The so-called TED spread, the gap between what banks and the Treasury pay to borrow money for three months, shrank to 96 basis points from 1.35 percentage points on Dec. 31. It touched a yearly low of 91 basis points on Feb. 2. The gauge reached a high of 4.64 percentage points in October, up from 1.35 percentage points on Sept. 12, the last trading day before Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. filed for bankruptcy.

U.S. home prices fell 6.3% in January from a year ago, the smallest decline in five months, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency in Washington.

"We have seen evidence that home sales are bottoming," said Jim O'Sullivan, senior economist with UBS Securities LLC, in Stamford, Connecticut. "This should be positive.""

No comments: